
Ethanol can be fermented from many starch sources, including corn, wheat, grain sorghum, barley, and potatoes, and sugar crops such as sugar cane and sweet sorghum. Because of an abundant supply of corn, most of the ethanol is made from corn. In this model, the user can indicate which feedstock will be used in the ethanol plant’s production and the by-products that may be produced, such as distilled corn oil and grains (dry).
This financial model Excel template prepares the business plan for Ethanol Plant production using a bottom-up approach. It starts by identifying the ethanol plant production capacity, annual ethanol production target, how much feedstock is needed to reach the production target, other by-product outputs of feedstock, price projections, and project costs of an ethanol plant.
Other key assumptions include the start year of operations, total capital expenditures, uses and sources of funds, and assumptions related to debt financing. These assumptions are then translated into a detailed 30-year financial plan that allows the business owners and management to see how the business should perform financially over the following years.
Additionally, the model enables the determination of the ethanol plant’s break-even volume and price, as well as the key relevant financial ratios and financial metrics, such as the ethanol plant profit margin, IRR, and NPV, that are necessary for banks and investors to comprehend the ethanol plant project.
Ethanol Plant Spreadsheet Template Structure
This Excel template has instructions and formulas that are simple and easy to follow, which allows users to run simulations by varying the input assumptions. The following is a list of the components of this financial model template:
Instructions and Terms contain the cell color codes and the terms and abbreviations used.
Executive Summary and Detailed Summary present the charts and graphs to understand your Ethanol Manufacturing Plant’s project reports of financial prospect better and to answer significant questions such as:
- Is ethanol production profitable?
- What are the project costs of an ethanol manufacturing plant?
- What is the ethanol plant’s production capacity?
These spreadsheets include a 10-year summary of the following:
- Projected Financial Statements overview– Income Statement, Balance Sheet, and Cash Flows Statement.
- Levered and Unlevered Free Cash Flows calculating key financial feasibility metrics such as the Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Payback Period, Net Present Value (NPV)
- Investor Summary (Premium Version only)
- Uses and Sources of Funds and Debt Financing
- Operational Key Performance Indicators – Profit per gallon of Ethanol
- Ethanol Production Summary
- Lifetime Profit Distribution and Cash Flows
- Break-Even Analysis Summary (Premium Version only)
- Sensitivity Analysis Summary (Premium Version only)
Assumptions that are necessary and applicable in the business plan of an Ethanol Plant Financial Model are presented in this worksheet.
- General Settings
- Currency
- Project Timeline – Ethanol Production Operation Years and Plant Lifetime
- Income Tax Rate
- Net Working Capital
- Inflation and Price Escalation
- Ethanol Manufacturing Plant Assumptions
- Product Input, Output, and By-Products Units
- Conversion Ratios – Ethanol and by-products output for every input
- Ethanol Manufacturing Plant Processing Capacity
- Ethanol and By-Product Prices
- Direct Costs of Producing Ethanol and Operating Expenses
- Capital Expenditures, CAPEX Schedule, and Maintenance per year
It could take up to three years to completely set up an ethanol manufacturing plant. By spreading out the amount of capital across the first three years, the CAPEX schedule of this model enables customers to plan this circumstance flexibly and realistically.
- Uses and Sources of Funds
- Cash Reserve and Net Working Capital
- Loan Amounts and Interest Rates
- Investors – Funding and Equity Stake
- Exit and Valuation Assumptions
- Dividend Policy Assumptions – Cash Sweep or Profit Distribution
Operating Model contains detailed calculations of the annual 30-year operational forecasts of the Ethanol Manufacturing Plant.
- Price and Cost Inflation
- Input and Output Production Volume and Prices
- Revenue Breakdown of Ethanol and By-Products
- Direct Costs
- Operating Expenses
- Fixed Assets Schedule – Initial CAPEX, Spending allocation, Maintenance, and Depreciation
The special features of the worksheets include:
- Annual Ethanol Plant output volume should not exceed the Ethanol Manufacturing Plant’s Production Capacity
- Percentage of the Plant Utilization
- Ethanol plant output volume is calculated depending on the assumption of the project timeline
- Operating Expenses will also only start upon the first year of production
Monthly Budget is prepared to have a detailed assessment of the financial feasibility of an ethanol manufacturing plant. This five-year monthly budget allows users to distribute the monthly production target, annual revenue, and costs for the months that occurred using percentages. Also presented are the calculations of profit margins in the ethanol plant and the presentation of Monthly Free Cash Flows (Unlevered and Levered) and Projected Cash Balance.
Financials worksheet contains a comprehensive and detailed 30-year financial forecast of the following:
- Financial Statements – Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement
- Operations Summary
- Financial Ratios
- Standardized Income Statement
- Profit per Gallon analysis
- Projected Enterprise Value
- Unlevered and Levered Free Cash Flow
- Financial Metrics, and
- Equity Funding and Divided Policy Schedule
The Financials worksheet also calculates Profit Margins in the production of Ethanol Plants, such as Gross Profit, EBITDA, EBIT, EBT, and Net Income/Loss Margin.
Debt Schedule is specially prepared for funding purposes to be presented to banks and investors. It contains financial ratios the banks and investors want to see when evaluating a project’s feasibility. The debt schedule comes with two debt facility options and adjustments for drawdowns and repayments.
The Break-Even Analysis (only Premium Version) calculates the required ethanol plant volume and price in the chosen year to break even at an EBIT level. This sheet also shows a break-even sensitivity analysis.
Shareholders Cash Flow (only Premium Version) is prepared to show the calculations of the Equity Multiple and Investors’ IRR, which helps determine whether their funding and equity stake percentages would result in profit.
Sensitivity Analysis (only Premium Version) determines how variables such as prices, expenses, and conversion ratios affect the IRR of a chosen parameter. Users may select Unlevered or Leveled IRRs, and Investors.
Prepare your own Ethanol Manufacturing Plant Financial Model now!
This Ethanol Manufacturing Plant Excel worksheet template analyzes the effects of various scenarios on the feasibility of your project. Its helpful features help users determine whether producing ethanol is profitable. The financial analysis and important KPIs will help you decide whether to invest in producing ethanol.
An example forecast of a business plan for an ethanol manufacturing plant is pre-filled into this financial model template. By adjusting the assumptions highlighted in blue, the forecast is easily modifiable.
The models, current version at 2.1, are available in two fully editable Excel versions:
- Premium Version (Excel file, fully editable) – All features
- Basic Version (Excel file, fully editable) – All features except for the Break-Even Analysis, Shareholder’s Cash Flow, and Sensitivity Analysis
Both versions are also available in PDF Demo Preview (which outlines the details of the model structure) and Null Versions (No values in the assumption sheet)
File types:
.xlsx (MS Excel)
.pdf (Adobe Acrobat Reader)
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