
MODEL OVERVIEW
User-friendly Excel model to calculate the expected value and return for a portfolio of cryptocurrency investments using Monte Carlo simulation analysis. The model allows the user to specify the cryptocurrency investment holdings (up to 15 different currency holdings), expected return, expected standard deviation, and the investment period to calculate a distribution of the expected total return and investment balance at the end of the investment period using Monte Carlo simulation.
The model enables the user to automatically download historic prices for each cryptocurrency holding to help determine / sense-check key projection assumptions such as the standard deviation and investment return.
The model follows best-practice financial modelling principles and includes instructions, checks, and input validations
KEY OUTPUTS
The key outputs include:
– Distribution chart of investment balances at end of investment period;
– Distribution chart of the total investment return over the investment period;
– Chart showing investment holding breakdown for a single iteration across investment period;
– Key results/ratios including average investment balance, average investment return, historic average return and historic standard deviation;
– Table showing total investment balance, investment return and additions/redemptions across key percentiles
– Table showing average development of investment balance over projection period.
KEY INPUTS
The key inputs include
– Currency
– Latest year and week
– Portfolio composition (Tickers and current investment balance by holding)
– Expected standard deviation
– Expected average return
– Weekly pricing data for past years
MODEL STRUCTURE
The model contains, 5 tabs split into input (‘i_’), calculation (‘c_’), output (‘o_’) and system tabs. The tabs to be populated by the user is the input tab (‘i_Inputs’). The calculation tab uses the user-defined inputs to calculate and produce the projection outputs which are presented in ‘o_Results’
KEY FEATURES
Other key features of this model include the following:
– The model follows best practice financial modelling guidelines and includes instructions, line item explanations, checks and input validations;
– The model allows for a maximum remaining investment period of 5 years;
– The model uses Monte Carlo analysis to simulate the investment return and balances for up to 1,000 iterations;
– Portfolio composition, currency, calculation year are fully customisable;
– The model includes instructions, checks and input validations to help ensure input fields are populated accurately;
– The model includes a checks dashboard which summarises all the checks included in the various tabs making it easier to identify any errors.
ABOUT PROJECTIFY
We are financial modelling professionals with experience working in big 4 business modelling teams and strong experience supporting businesses with their financial planning and decision support needs. Our aim is to provide robust and easy-to-use models that follow good practice financial modelling guidelines and assist individuals and businesses with key financial planning and analysis processes.
We are keen to make sure our customers are satisfied with the tools / models they purchase and will be more than happy to assist with any questions or support required following or in advance of purchase.
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