Break Even Analysis in Petroleum Project Models

The main purpose of the model is to enable users to get a robust  understanding of the business sensitivity analysis of the Oil and gas  project and to evaluate the project  outcomes in event of market fluctuations.

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This model includes calculations of 11 robust worksheets of 2 standalone projects (Oil and Gas) with Output Reports & Model Charts, which are dynamically modeled. This model has the ability to be updated seamlessly based on the selected forecast scenarios. Core drivers on economic and operating assumptions, capital expenditures and operating expenses, gross Operating cash Flow applications, abandonment provisions (with Lump versus Unit of production approaches) & project valuation analysis are provided with an in-depth analysis of the project outcomes.

A detailed breakeven analysis for the oil and gas project is provided, including breakeven revenue, Prices, and production. A robust sensitivity analysis is provided to gauge the impact on project variables. The model is dynamic (and fully customizable) and allows users to select the desired forecasted Years (up to 20 years)

The Structure of the Output Reports & Model Charts are dynamically updated based on the selected forecast scenario.

The Model Structure includes:

  • Project Input – This section will address the core model drivers and input on sensitivity and the case scenarios
  • Assumptions – This section will address the model assumptions considering the Economic and developments costs
  • Economic Input – This section will address the Inflation, Escalation, Oil and Gas Prices including losses), Discounts, Oil and Gas production Scenarios.
  • Revenue Projections – This section will address the production and Price-based scenario to produce reasonable projections.
  • Gross Operating Cash Flow (GOCF) – This section will address the operation cash flow of both oil and gas assets
  • Abandonment Modelling – This section will address oil and gas assets abandonment provisions using the Unit of production Approaches.
  • Post Economic Limit Analysis Modelling – This section will address oil and gas post-Economic Limit test approaches considering the Economic limits’ automatic shutoff of uneconomic cash flows
  • Reserves Modelling – This section will address the Oil and Gas Reserves modelling with BOE analysis of both assets.
  • Valuations Modelling – This section will address all economic yardsticks, including the Free Cash  Flow approach of  NPV, IRR, Reserves,  NCF ratio, Payout period,  Forward  NPV, IRR,  MCE, etc.
  • Project Executive Summary – Professional Executive Summary (can be used for investment decisions) containing core high-level summary presented on portable display format
  • Breakeven Analysis – This section addresses the Breakeven analysis of Price, Production, and revenue for both Oil and Gas Assets.
  • Business Dashboards – Presentation of Project results with professional charts & graphs with drop boxes for flexible scenarios, and charts have been updated to reflect the actual scenarios.

For Help & Support regarding this template and bespoke modeling consulting & advisory, we are happy to provide support, including customization for bespoke services as required. Please contact us via the Support Team.

File Types: .xlsx and .pdf

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